Global Conflict
AMK Mapping
Public Telegram channel promoted after handle resolution and bounded ingest evidence on 2026-05-29.
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I agree with this. Media sensationalism makes it seem as if this has all happened at once.
The battles for urban areas of Kostyantynivka have lasted over 7 months, since mid-October 2025. The Russians have utilised a massive amount of manpower, progressively deepening their infiltrations, resulting in the defence for Ukraine slowly cracking and deteriorating. These new developments were expected.
In my opinion, the city will fall some time in July, but it's impossible to accurately predict this at this stage. Ukraine absolutely still has more manpower in the city than Russia due to a lack of stable control for Russia within the city limits, but this will likely switch in the near future.